Scott Martin is on the verge of winning the only major FLW title that has escaped him to this point: Walmart FLW Tour Angler of the Year. As John Cox and Bryan Thrift stumbled in the Walmart FLW Tour season finale on the Potomac River, Martin steamed ahead and made the top-20 cut in 11th place with 26 pounds, 9 ounces.

The way the math checks out, if Martin finishes 19th place or better, he’ll win AOY. If he finishes 20th, he’ll be tied with Cox. The tiebreaker awards AOY to the angler with the most total weight for the season. If he finishes 20th, Martin can still win by bringing at least 11-13 to the scale on day three. Anything less and Cox survives to win.

Cox finished the tournament in 42nd place with a 23-14 total. The Debary, Fla., pro was just 1 pound, 12 ounces away from making the top 20 and ensuring an AOY victory.

Thrift came into the final stop with a moderate lead in the point race. Unfortunately for him, it evaporated as Martin surged ahead and Thrift was only able to muster 21-12 for 74th place after two days on the Potomac. Though he came back somewhat on the second day with 12-06, Thrift’s day-one catch of 9-06 doomed the North Carolina pro.